1、浙江大學碩士學位論文大壩監(jiān)測資料分析與安全指標擬定的研究姓名：范慶來申請學位級別：碩士專業(yè)：水工結構工程指導教師：劉國華20040201塑堊查蘭塑堂垡堡皇叁塑鑒型塑型坌塑蘭窒全!!堡塑塞墮型[窒ABSTRACTItisdifficulttodetectthetemporaldamageofdamonlybyintuitiveapproachToevaluatestatusofdamsafetyduringopermion，peoplem

2、ustanalysemonitoringdataandadoptsuitablemethodstopreventdamaccidentForthisimportantsubject，thepaperdiscussesseveralmethodsmadapplicationsofdataanalysisandindexdefinitionformonitoringdamsafetyandpresentsrecommendationofbu

3、ildingmanagementsystemofmonitoringdamsafetyThefollowingaresummarizesofthispaper1Thepaperdiscussesreciprocalrelationofvariousinfluencingfactorsofdamsafetywhichsuppliesthetheoreticalbasisforargmnentelectionofanalyticmodel，

4、2StudyofdataanalysisCanbedividedthreeparts：FimtlNtheforecasttechniqueofregressionanalysishasbeenappliedinJinxihy—dropowerstation，Yongjia，ZhejiangprovinceByanalyzingmonitoringdataofreversedpendulum，dam—deformationisconsid

5、eredintheregulardimensionsecondly，anoptimizedMGM(1，圳model，whichisbasedonthegeneralgreymulti—variablemodel，iSintroducedtosolvetheproblemofdamdeformationforecastByapplyingthismodelwithmonitoringdataofacertainearthdam，satis

6、fyingresultsareobtained111eresultshaveshownthattheproposedmethodiSfeasibleandeffectiveforapplicationThirdlyArtificialNeuralNetworksmodelhasbeenappliedinthedataanalysisofdam—deformationofDayikenghydropowerstation，Qingtian

7、，Zhejiangprovince3111epaperdiscussesthetheoryandmethodofindexdefinitionformonitoringdamsafetywhichisanewfieldinthemanagementofdanasafetyMoreoverthepaperpresentstwomethodsincludinglowprobabilityandfiniteelementanalysis，wh

8、ichhavebeenappliedinindexdefinitionoftypicalmonolith，Lanxiqiaohydropowerstation，Qingyuan，Zhejiangprovince4InthelastchapteraviewpointofbuildingmanagementsystemofMonitoringdamsafetyispresentedThissystemincludesinformationm