1、東北大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文中國(guó)鐵礦石需求預(yù)測(cè)姓名：張東亮申請(qǐng)學(xué)位級(jí)別：碩士專業(yè)：采礦工程指導(dǎo)教師：王青陶在樸20041201東北大學(xué)碩士學(xué)位論文AbstractAbstract16thNationalCongressofthecommunistpartyofChinaestablishedthegoalofdevelopmentofTherichsocietyin2020realizesthatTheGDPwillquadruplesbyth

2、enanddoubleitin2010.Theironore，asoneofthebasicrawmaterialsofnationaleconomicdevelopmenttothebigcountrieswhichareinfastindustrializeddevelopingperiodasourcountrydoesareintheverytimeforconsumption.Facestheresourcegeologica

3、lstructureofironoreofourcountrybeingcomplicatedthegradelowertherequirementsfortransportationbadsuchasbeingeven.WhatkindofresourceguaranteeofironoretoreachtheneedofthisgoalInordertoensureironoreresourcessupplyneedusmaking

4、andimplementingwhatkindofresourcestrategyofironoreAnswerthisquestion，needsrealizingthegoalofeconomicdevelopmentessentialresourceamountofironorebeingcarriedonscience，anddoquantitativepredictionatfirst.Forthisreasonthispap

5、erresearchestheimportantproblemofsustainabledevelopmentofsteelandironindustrythatrelatedourcountry.FirstofallthisthesisisanalysedabouttheironoremarketofourcountrybasedonThesupplyanddemandtheoryofeconomicsandcombinethegre

6、atresolutionthepolicyandsuddenincidentovertheyearsofourcountrybycollectingalargeamountofhistoricaldataputingtheminorderandanalyingthemainfactorwhichinfluencestheironoredemandofourcountrythussetupthemeasuredeconomicmodelo

7、fironorerequirementforecastingsuitsforourcountry.AnalyseindicatesthatThemainfactorsoftheironoredemandofourcountryarethosetheGDPofourcountry，consumptionofresidentimportsandexports，investmentinfixedassets，1997Asianfinancia

8、lcrisisandeverylaggingvariableofthevariables.SecondadopttheeconomyofmeasuringtosetupamodelofpredictingbyusingThesoftwareG7ofthemeasuredeconemicscarriesonthequantitativeonetoforecasttheironoredemandofourcountryinadvancewi

9、ththeaidofU.S.AMarylanduniversityCLOOPERALMONExaminepredictindicatesthatourcountryshowsatendencythattheironoredemandisobviouslyrisinginthefollowing8yearsdifferentiatedemandironore(calculateaccordingtodomesticqualityorigi

10、nalore)upsto568493400intheYear2005and656678600，2010.Thirdbuttheoutputandtechnologyofironoreofourcountryputforwardthecorrespondingsettlementmeasurelimitedlyinthefaceofsolargydemandofironoreofourcountry.Keyword:IronoreDema