1、學校代碼：10254密氟：論文編號：上洛廖事夫擎SHANGHAlMARITlMEUNlVERSITY碩士學位論文MASTERDISSERTATlON上海外高橋保稅區(qū)論文題目：絲凌意生虛題鳘盤纏塑拯學科專業(yè)：芒業(yè)經注堂作者姓名：蔣峰勝指導教師：奎座穎筮授完成日期：二OO五年六月，●，●AbstractWaigaoqiaoFreeTradeZone(hereinafterreferstoasWFl_z)wasapprovedbytheSta

2、teCounci|In1990ItistheearliestfoundedandmostmatureFreeTradeZoneinourcountryAfter15yearshigh—speeddevelopment，ithasbecomeaveryimportantdevelopmentzoneinShanghaiandeventheYangtzeRiverDeltaAreaItplaysanenormouspushroletothe

3、developmentofShanghaianditsperipheralcitiesHoweverasourcountryjoinsWTO，thepolicyadvantagesofWFTZarebeingweakeneddaybydayAndthequestionsaccumulatedinitshistorybegintoappearbeforeusSo，undersuchabackground，ithassometheoryan

4、drealisticmeaningtoanalysetheWFTZ’searlywarningsystemConsideringtheparticularityoftheWFTZ，thisresearchselectedthecompetitivepoweroftheWFTZasitsobjectoftheearlywarningsystemAtthebeginningofthisarticle，itreviewedthetheoret

5、icalfoundationofcompetitivepowerandearlywarningsystemThenitdesignedasetofindextocomputethecompetitivepowerofWFTZlntheprincipleofsystematicness，comprehensive，representativeness，fairness，comparativitypracticabilityetcAllof

6、theseindexesarerelativetoactualityoftheWFTzAndcombiningwiththeanalyticalmethodofthefactoritcomputedthecompetitivepowerofWFTZfrom1993to2003withtheseindexesAccordingtothescores，itdividedtheevolutionofWFTZinto3stages，thatar

7、ethebeginningstage，theadjustingstageandthequickdevelopingstageAfterthat，accordingtothescoreofcompetitivepower，itdefinedthemeaningofthealert，foundthesourceofthealert，analysedtheomenofthealert，andsetupanearlywarningmodelof

8、thecompetitivepoweroftheWFTZThisisthekey。pointofthisarticleFinally，itexaminedtheaccuracyofthisearlywarningsystemwiththecompetitivepowerscoreof2004andmakepredictionfor2005Theresearchusequantitativeanalysisandqualitativean